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December 1, 2021

Investors have divided into two camps. Those who believe inflation will subside and the rise in prices will prove temporary. And others who fear we are entering a period of high sustained inflation reminiscent of the 1970s. We consider both scenarios unlikely.

Investors have divided into two camps. Those who believe inflation will subside and the rise in prices will prove temporary. And others who fear we are entering a period of high sustained inflation reminiscent of the 1970s. We consider both scenarios unlikely.

Overlay the bottom chart below and you would be forgiven for believing that we are now on the same trajectory as we were 50 years ago. There are parallels but to assume the economy will meet the same inflationary fate would be a grave mistake for investors.

November 24, 2021

For many, it’s the culmination of a lifetimes work. You’ve sold your business, the deal has completed and a large amount of cash has landed. Where do you go next?

For many, it’s the culmination of a lifetimes work. You’ve sold your business, the deal has completed and a large amount of cash has landed. Where do you go next?

October 26, 2021

The energy sector has fallen from 16% of the S&P 500 just 13 years ago, to below 3% as of today, as our chart shows. If you looked back to the early 1980s you would have seen it was more than 20%.

The energy sector has fallen from 16% of the S&P 500 just 13 years ago, to below 3% as of today, as our chart shows. If you looked back to the early 1980s you would have seen it was more than 20%.

If you add up all of the listed oil majors (BP, Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron etc) you get a market cap less than 40% of Apple’s $2.5 trillion (1). It looks decidedly like a one way track, reflecting an irreversible change to investor sentiment, indicative of a future no longer powered by fossil fuels.

October 22, 2021

Family entrepreneurs attending the leading 23rd European Family Office Forum are putting their money where COP26 politicians’ mouths are by sustainably investing in transformational ventures and gaining healthy returns.

Family entrepreneurs attending the leading 23rd European Family Office Forum are putting their money where COP26 politicians’ mouths are by sustainably investing in transformational ventures and gaining healthy returns.

The essential and influential forum will be held by Campden Wealth on 3-4 November. The exclusive gathering returns to its in-person format in London for its 23rd edition.

October 14, 2021

In the 26 years that Ruffer LLP has been in existence, a clear pattern has emerged. When the market mood is either complacent or ebullient, equity indices tend to rise strongly, and we lag behind them. An ‘unexpected’ crisis then hits, and Ruffer quickly recovers lost ground.

In the 26 years that Ruffer LLP has been in existence, a clear pattern has emerged. When the market mood is either complacent or ebullient, equity indices tend to rise strongly, and we lag behind them. An ‘unexpected’ crisis then hits, and Ruffer quickly recovers lost ground.

October 1, 2021

The Covid-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening.

The Covid-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening.

Amid this backdrop, our outlook favours equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks.

Key market themes

September 30, 2021

In the world of investment, there are few things everyone can agree on. You’re either a bull or a bear, a dove or a hawk, for or against.

In the world of investment, there are few things everyone can agree on. You’re either a bull or a bear, a dove or a hawk, for or against.

If there’s one thing investors do know for sure—it’s that bonds and equities can be used in combination to achieve a ‘balanced portfolio’.

At the simplest level, this means building portfolios with some equities for the good times, and bonds for the bad. Typically, in a 60/40 split.

September 23, 2021

Devansh Jain, the next generation entrepreneur of the Inox Group family business in India, says family enterprises have proven themselves quick to adapt and lead in the Covid-19 crisis and will play an increasingly important role in co-investing in emerging asset classes.

Devansh Jain, the next generation entrepreneur of the Inox Group family business in India, says family enterprises have proven themselves quick to adapt and lead in the Covid-19 crisis and will play an increasingly important role in co-investing in emerging asset classes.

August 16, 2021

Grosvenor Group seeks ESG commercial property deals beyond London, Samsung’s ‘crown prince’ Lee Jae-yong released on parole, Warren Buffett maintains Berkshire Hathaway buyback spree over deals.

Grosvenor Group seeks ESG commercial property deals beyond London

Grosvenor Group, the London-headquartered international property businesses owned by the Duke of Westminster and family, looks to expand in the regions of the United Kingdom with its ESG–minded $415 million investment strategy.

The new strategy followed losses in asset values and revenue as Covid-19 pandemic restrictions impacted high street retail in 2020.

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