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May 20, 2022

Financial markets – with their twists and turns and unknowability – remind us just how hard it is to predict the future and just how wonderful perfect foresight would be, says Ruffer LLP’s Duncan MacInnes.

In the Back To The Future trilogy, the bad guy is a bully called Biff Tannen.

The megalomaniac mogul amassed his wealth because his older self travelled back in time to give his younger self the Grays Sports Almanac, a compilation of every sports result from 1950 to 2000. So Biff was able to earn a spectacular fortune from sports betting.

Financial markets – with their twists and turns and unknowability – remind us just how hard it is to predict the future and just how wonderful perfect foresight would be.

May 10, 2022

In this week’s FB Roundup, Reetu Gupta is appointed chairwoman of The Gupta Group; Todd Boehly’s syndicate agrees to purchase Chelsea FC for £4.25 billion; and Brazilian billionaire Alberto Safra buys a Sao Paulo real estate firm.

Reetu Gupta appointed chairwoman of The Gupta Group
Reetu Gupta, a two-time recipient of Canada's top 100 most powerful women award, has been named chairwoman and ambassadress of The Gupta Group, taking over the running of the privately owned family office from her father, Dr. Steve Gupta.

May 5, 2022

Globally, inflation is likely to be higher and more volatile. Inflation risk, an absent adversary throughout the careers of most investors today, will need to be priced once again, says Ruffer LLP’s Jamie Dannhauser.

In the late 1970s, the world was on the cusp of radical change. The ‘Deflation Machine’ was being born. Deng Xiaoping, having outmanoeuvred Mao Zedong’s preferred successor, began the process of reforming China’s moribund economy. In the West, liberal, free-market ideals were gaining traction, ideals that underpinned the subsequent regime of rapid, disinflationary global growth.

April 27, 2022

Hong Kong is increasingly attracting global family offices who want to grow their investments in Asia, particularly Mainland China, says Christine Ho, deputy global head of FamilyOfficeHK at Invest Hong Kong.

Hong Kong is increasingly attracting global family offices who want to grow their investments in Asia, particularly Mainland China. According to Campden Wealth’s Global Family Office Report 2021 (the Report) [1], setting up an office in the city provides easier access to investments in the region.


The East continues to grow at a fast pace

April 21, 2022

Inflation-linked bonds are a key defence in a world of deepening negative real yields, says Jasmine Yeo, investment manager at Ruffer LLP.

What was the real return on the US ten-year bond over the past two years? Flat? Down a little?

Wrong – down a lot. The bedrock of the balanced portfolio has delivered a real return of -20% over the past two years [1].

That’s the worst inflation-adjusted performance since 1981 [2].

Traditional balanced portfolios rely on equities and bonds fulfilling their roles – equities for good times, bonds to cushion the bad. But after a torrid three months for markets, investors are being forced to tear up the rulebook.

April 21, 2022

No one is better equipped to take the reins of transformational leadership than family businesses, says KPMG partner Tom McGinness.

When I look back at the unpredictability of 2021, I’m reminded that the pandemic was a stimulus for some disruptive and transformative innovations in medicine, technology, buying behaviour, entertainment and personal fitness that have had a seismic impact on the way we live and work.

April 20, 2022

In this week’s FB Roundup, François Pinault looks to acquire music streaming platform Deezer; Robert Kraft’s family donates $24 million to Harvard Business School; and Ashwin Damera invests in an Indian venture lending firm.

François Pinault looks to acquire music streaming platform Deezer
French businessman François Pinault [pictured left] is aiming to buy music streaming platform Deezer in a deal estimated at $1.6 billion.

The founder of the luxury group Kering and investment company Artémis, along with other founders of the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) I2PO, plans to take the company public if the deal goes ahead.

April 19, 2022

Post COVID-19 pandemic, growth is now being crimped by global supply issues, fuelling higher inflation around the world—a trend that is not going to be as transitory as some people had initially hoped, says Titanbay's Hakki Mustafa.

April 4, 2022

The Russia-Ukraine war adds to near-term growth risks for the global economy and will likely keep inflation elevated for longer. While uncertainty is high, equity markets are oversold and should recover if tensions ease in the coming months says Russell Investments’ global head of investment strategy Andrew Pease.

The Russia-Ukraine war adds to near-term growth risks for the global economy and will likely keep inflation elevated for longer. While uncertainty is high, equity markets are oversold and should recover if tensions ease in the coming months says Russell Investments’ global head of investment strategy Andrew Pease.


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